[轉貼] Steve Jobs : Stay Hungry, stay foolish

今天放假, 股票已經不太想留意, 於是奪門出去散步, 經過中環那個偽天星碼頭, 見到有一疊「爽報」, 姑且一看,

誰知被一版全版關於Steve Job的講稿吸引著, 覺得很有意思, 排版那位真的很有幽默感, 要人們潔淨心靈後才去看那些所謂意淫, 不堪入目的。

於是, 我一直看到登船, 椅子還未坐暖已經到達尖沙嘴天星碼頭了, 回頭看看對岸的IFC, 心想:「到底有多少人知道Steve Jobs是何許人?」

(From : Apple Opens First Hong Kong Store as Retail Spending Surges ,  Blomberg)

 當日演講內容:

www.youtube.com/watch

 


 

'You've got to find what you love,' Jobs says

This is a prepared text of the Commencement address delivered by Steve Jobs, CEO of Apple Computer and of Pixar Animation Studios, on June 12, 2005.

 

I am honored to be with you today at your commencement from one of the finest universities in the world. I never graduated from college. Truth be told, this is the closest I've ever gotten to a college graduation. Today I want to tell you three stories from my life. That's it. No big deal. Just three stories.

The first story is about connecting the dots.

I dropped out of Reed College after the first 6 months, but then stayed around as a drop-in for another 18 months or so before I really quit. So why did I drop out?

It started before I was born. My biological mother was a young, unwed college graduate student, and she decided to put me up for adoption. She felt very strongly that I should be adopted by college graduates, so everything was all set for me to be adopted at birth by a lawyer and his wife. Except that when I popped out they decided at the last minute that they really wanted a girl. So my parents, who were on a waiting list, got a call in the middle of the night asking: "We have an unexpected baby boy; do you want him?" They said: "Of course." My biological mother later found out that my mother had never graduated from college and that my father had never graduated from high school. She refused to sign the final adoption papers. She only relented a few months later when my parents promised that I would someday go to college.

And 17 years later I did go to college. But I naively chose a college that was almost as expensive as Stanford, and all of my working-class parents' savings were being spent on my college tuition. After six months, I couldn't see the value in it. I had no idea what I wanted to do with my life and no idea how college was going to help me figure it out. And here I was spending all of the money my parents had saved their entire life. So I decided to drop out and trust that it would all work out OK. It was pretty scary at the time, but looking back it was one of the best decisions I ever made. The minute I dropped out I could stop taking the required classes that didn't interest me, and begin dropping in on the ones that looked interesting.

It wasn't all romantic. I didn't have a dorm room, so I slept on the floor in friends' rooms, I returned coke bottles for the 5¢ deposits to buy food with, and I would walk the 7 miles across town every Sunday night to get one good meal a week at the Hare Krishna temple. I loved it. And much of what I stumbled into by following my curiosity and intuition turned out to be priceless later on. Let me give you one example:

Reed College at that time offered perhaps the best calligraphy instruction in the country. Throughout the campus every poster, every label on every drawer, was beautifully hand calligraphed. Because I had dropped out and didn't have to take the normal classes, I decided to take a calligraphy class to learn how to do this. I learned about serif and san serif typefaces, about varying the amount of space between different letter combinations, about what makes great typography great. It was beautiful, historical, artistically subtle in a way that science can't capture, and I found it fascinating.

None of this had even a hope of any practical application in my life. But ten years later, when we were designing the first Macintosh computer, it all came back to me. And we designed it all into the Mac. It was the first computer with beautiful typography. If I had never dropped in on that single course in college, the Mac would have never had multiple typefaces or proportionally spaced fonts. And since Windows just copied the Mac, it's likely that no personal computer would have them. If I had never dropped out, I would have never dropped in on this calligraphy class, and personal computers might not have the wonderful typography that they do. Of course it was impossible to connect the dots looking forward when I was in college. But it was very, very clear looking backwards ten years later.

Again, you can't connect the dots looking forward; you can only connect them looking backwards. So you have to trust that the dots will somehow connect in your future. You have to trust in something — your gut, destiny, life, karma, whatever. This approach has never let me down, and it has made all the difference in my life.

My second story is about love and loss.

I was lucky — I found what I loved to do early in life. Woz and I started Apple in my parents garage when I was 20. We worked hard, and in 10 years Apple had grown from just the two of us in a garage into a $2 billion company with over 4000 employees. We had just released our finest creation — the Macintosh — a year earlier, and I had just turned 30. And then I got fired. How can you get fired from a company you started? Well, as Apple grew we hired someone who I thought was very talented to run the company with me, and for the first year or so things went well. But then our visions of the future began to diverge and eventually we had a falling out. When we did, our Board of Directors sided with him. So at 30 I was out. And very publicly out. What had been the focus of my entire adult life was gone, and it was devastating.

I really didn't know what to do for a few months. I felt that I had let the previous generation of entrepreneurs down - that I had dropped the baton as it was being passed to me. I met with David Packard and Bob Noyce and tried to apologize for screwing up so badly. I was a very public failure, and I even thought about running away from the valley. But something slowly began to dawn on me — I still loved what I did. The turn of events at Apple had not changed that one bit. I had been rejected, but I was still in love. And so I decided to start over.

I didn't see it then, but it turned out that getting fired from Apple was the best thing that could have ever happened to me. The heaviness of being successful was replaced by the lightness of being a beginner again, less sure about everything. It freed me to enter one of the most creative periods of my life.

During the next five years, I started a company named NeXT, another company named Pixar, and fell in love with an amazing woman who would become my wife. Pixar went on to create the worlds first computer animated feature film, Toy Story, and is now the most successful animation studio in the world. In a remarkable turn of events, Apple bought NeXT, I returned to Apple, and the technology we developed at NeXT is at the heart of Apple's current renaissance. And Laurene and I have a wonderful family together.

I'm pretty sure none of this would have happened if I hadn't been fired from Apple. It was awful tasting medicine, but I guess the patient needed it. Sometimes life hits you in the head with a brick. Don't lose faith. I'm convinced that the only thing that kept me going was that I loved what I did. You've got to find what you love. And that is as true for your work as it is for your lovers. Your work is going to fill a large part of your life, and the only way to be truly satisfied is to do what you believe is great work. And the only way to do great work is to love what you do. If you haven't found it yet, keep looking. Don't settle. As with all matters of the heart, you'll know when you find it. And, like any great relationship, it just gets better and better as the years roll on. So keep looking until you find it. Don't settle.

My third story is about death.

When I was 17, I read a quote that went something like: "If you live each day as if it was your last, someday you'll most certainly be right." It made an impression on me, and since then, for the past 33 years, I have looked in the mirror every morning and asked myself: "If today were the last day of my life, would I want to do what I am about to do today?" And whenever the answer has been "No" for too many days in a row, I know I need to change something.

Remembering that I'll be dead soon is the most important tool I've ever encountered to help me make the big choices in life. Because almost everything — all external expectations, all pride, all fear of embarrassment or failure - these things just fall away in the face of death, leaving only what is truly important. Remembering that you are going to die is the best way I know to avoid the trap of thinking you have something to lose. You are already naked. There is no reason not to follow your heart.

About a year ago I was diagnosed with cancer. I had a scan at 7:30 in the morning, and it clearly showed a tumor on my pancreas. I didn't even know what a pancreas was. The doctors told me this was almost certainly a type of cancer that is incurable, and that I should expect to live no longer than three to six months. My doctor advised me to go home and get my affairs in order, which is doctor's code for prepare to die. It means to try to tell your kids everything you thought you'd have the next 10 years to tell them in just a few months. It means to make sure everything is buttoned up so that it will be as easy as possible for your family. It means to say your goodbyes.

I lived with that diagnosis all day. Later that evening I had a biopsy, where they stuck an endoscope down my throat, through my stomach and into my intestines, put a needle into my pancreas and got a few cells from the tumor. I was sedated, but my wife, who was there, told me that when they viewed the cells under a microscope the doctors started crying because it turned out to be a very rare form of pancreatic cancer that is curable with surgery. I had the surgery and I'm fine now.

This was the closest I've been to facing death, and I hope it's the closest I get for a few more decades. Having lived through it, I can now say this to you with a bit more certainty than when death was a useful but purely intellectual concept:

No one wants to die. Even people who want to go to heaven don't want to die to get there. And yet death is the destination we all share. No one has ever escaped it. And that is as it should be, because Death is very likely the single best invention of Life. It is Life's change agent. It clears out the old to make way for the new. Right now the new is you, but someday not too long from now, you will gradually become the old and be cleared away. Sorry to be so dramatic, but it is quite true.

Your time is limited, so don't waste it living someone else's life. Don't be trapped by dogma — which is living with the results of other people's thinking. Don't let the noise of others' opinions drown out your own inner voice. And most important, have the courage to follow your heart and intuition. They somehow already know what you truly want to become. Everything else is secondary.

When I was young, there was an amazing publication called The Whole Earth Catalog, which was one of the bibles of my generation. It was created by a fellow named Stewart Brand not far from here in Menlo Park, and he brought it to life with his poetic touch. This was in the late 1960's, before personal computers and desktop publishing, so it was all made with typewriters, scissors, and polaroid cameras. It was sort of like Google in paperback form, 35 years before Google came along: it was idealistic, and overflowing with neat tools and great notions.

Stewart and his team put out several issues of The Whole Earth Catalog, and then when it had run its course, they put out a final issue. It was the mid-1970s, and I was your age. On the back cover of their final issue was a photograph of an early morning country road, the kind you might find yourself hitchhiking on if you were so adventurous. Beneath it were the words: "Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish." It was their farewell message as they signed off. Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish. And I have always wished that for myself. And now, as you graduate to begin anew, I wish that for you.

Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish.

Thank you all very much.

news.stanford.edu/news/2005/june15/jobs-061505.html

=====================================================================

「假如今天是生命最後一天, 你會怎樣做?」

電影<Source Code>又是差不多道理, 「假如生命只剩一分鐘, 你會怎樣做?」, 很浪漫, 很灑脫。

若果是我, 我會跟自己喜愛的朋友說, 我愛你們, 對我討厭的人說不要那麼早死, 因為你下來就是我的復仇時間。

 

發表時間:2011年9月27日 | 評論 (0) | 全文

三個學生

學生一 

 

由於公司互聯網太累需要休息的關係, 我整天都以免提聽著收音機, 聽到耳朵快要流濃了, 當中每一小時的新聞報導都報著死因庭研訊一名就讀東涌天主教學校在早會其間跳樓的學生的死因, 就零碎的資料腦裡生出許多問題:

 

1) 他向朗誦老師表示:「呢度跳落去只係七秒」, 為何該老師找的不是物理老師而是訓導老師? 

 

2) 他在個人網誌聲稱自小就聽到世界不同聲音, 知道其他人的想法,為了不想別人覺得他不正常, 一直隱藏自己。如果他說的是事實, 那麼我們這些凡夫俗子便集體謀殺了這位超能人?

 

3) 偏在「敬師日」這個莊嚴神聖的日子, 直斥其他同學「廢」, 又指被同班同學視為垃圾, 實在是六月飛霜當中一定有莫大的冤情! 但學校卻因其舉動令老師及學生「好嬲」所以記他大過。請問此舉跟被賊人以軍刀刺殺原因是我其搶劫的過程中不合作還喊救命?

 

追加問題, 請問出來社會做事要跟一班廢如垃圾的同事, 我憤怒也不應該? 其實我才是苦主, 法官大人!

 

==============================================

 

學生二

 

全靠"行動的力量"這書令到「游泳」這個行為, 完完全全殖入我每天的日程,

 

話雖如此, 今次是不同的, 下班後匆匆乘那班789等到嘔的公車,

 

下車後匆匆到游泳池的更衣室裡找一個我非常熟悉的儲物櫃號碼 ------ 291

 

正當我把褲子退下, 我便聽到對面那三位血氣方剛的男生在高談闊論,

 

內容大意是:學生A:「xxxx, Miss x , 開左學兩個幾禮拜之嗎就咁x 殘......xxxx」學生B:「x你, onx啦! Miss x 仲x殘啦! x你!」

 

這一刻我明白到, 原來暗瘡數量跟髒話多寡是成正比, 我們不是學生, 是統計學家!

 

那兩位被X的老師老師, 你們的犧牲是絕對值得! 少少的苦楚換來明日的棟樑!

 

香港有救了!

 

=================================================

學生三

 

他是位三年前因不清楚自己喜愛什麼科目結果選修了BBA和Social Sciences的年青人,

 

他道出教育制度的荒誕, 沒錯, 其實短短數小時, 50題MC, 若干條問題不足以衡量一個人的智識,

 

但科學就是一門不停更新的科目, 因為沒有比現存的制度更好的替代, 所以姑且便將就一下,

 

反正我們尊貴的掌權者也不亦樂乎, 看不出有什麼問題(當權的最憎恨智識分子), 看出問題的只敢怒不敢言, 敢言的那位昨年也跳樓身亡了......

 

然而, 我認為他對於工作看得太簡單, 工作不只是賺錢, 工作就是一個沒有guideline驚濤駭浪的環境下, 以閣下有限的智識去生存, 如何在這環境令自己強壯, 想生存還是長埋海底, 適隨尊便。

 

結論:

 

如果他於四年前肯花百多元看看他的演出, 說不定他的命運會改寫:

 

www.youtube.com/watch

發表時間:2011年9月22日 | 評論 (0) | 全文

[轉貼] 2011年十大熱門技術展望

 http://www.chuangyejia.com/norm.php?id=2012&PHPSESSID=23bbd3f7357e61952549058d8dcc7ac3

 
1. 社交分析
 
2010 年,微博在中國迅速走紅。“你開微博了嗎?”成為網民最常用的問候語之一。微博作 ​​為一個龐大的信息平台,除了具有媒體屬性,還具有相當強烈的社交網絡性質。
 
社交分析指的是分析人、話題和想法之間的互動與聯繫的流程。社交分析是一個總稱,包括多種具體的分析技術,例如社交過濾、社交網絡分析、語義分析和社交媒體分析等。社交網絡分析從多個來源蒐集數據,確定關係,並評估一種關係的影響、質量和效果,對於了解社交結構以及個人、團體和組織的工作狀態非常有用。
 
Gartner 預計,到2016 年,社交技術將整合到多數商業應用中。企業應當將社交CRM( 客戶關係管理) 、內部通信和協作以及公共社交網站項目整合為一個協同戰略。
 
2. 3D 顯示
 
《阿凡達》使3D 電影方興未艾。《MIT 技術評論》將3D 顯示列為“未來十大新興技術”之一,認為它將革命性地改變人們的工作與生活方式。3D 顯示可應用於工業仿真、建築設計、軍事模擬、醫療、教學等領域,還將帶動顯示器、電視等行業向3D 技術轉移。在歐美髮達地區,3D 顯示技術已經開始走入普通家庭。澳大利亞Dynamic Digital Depth 公司研發成功了一種將現有2D 實時轉換為3D 的技術,已經授權給三星公司,用於其W960 手機中。
 
目前,3D 顯示市場的發展還面臨標準缺失、價格較高、內容匱乏等製約因素。3D 顯示需要上下游的內容商、運營商、芯片商、面板商、系統集成商通力合作,從內容、傳輸到視頻處理一整套標準的建立有助於產業化真正起步。
 
   3. 實時搜索
目前,谷歌和微軟“必應”搜索引擎都納入了來自Twitter 、Facebook 、MySpace 等社交網站的實時信息,開始提供實時搜索(Real-Time Search )功能。但現在實時搜索只能充當配角,不出現在主要的搜索結果頁面上。
 
《MIT 技術評論》認為,實時搜索發展的關鍵在於與實時信息過濾相結合,在提供即時信息的同時,提高信息的相關程度和權威性。同時,Collecta 、OneRiot 和Topsy 等實時搜索引擎也將進一步改進實時搜索體驗。目前,實時搜索還存在一系列問題,比如以具有相關性的方式展示實時內容,並將其組織在一起較為困難。此外,搜索引擎需要向Twitter 等付費,獲得這些網站中的實時信息,隨後才能提供實時搜索。不過,作為搜索技術的最新成果,實時搜索在不遠的將來一定會大行其道。
 
   4. 移動能量採集
為電路提供能量也許不需要電網或電池,而是通過周圍各種現象。著名科技期刊《EE Times 》估計,這種技術將帶來深遠影響。
 
能量採集技術的一個早期應用,是在機械裝置和車輛上廣泛使用通過振動提供能量的無線傳感器。由於不再需要電池,這種傳感器也就沒有了維護的必要。如今,能量採集技術也有望應用於手機等移動設備領域。德國EnOcean GmbH 公司長期以來一直在推動無電池的無線開關技術在住宅自動化領域的應用,現正幫助EnOcean  聯盟制定這方面的標準。全球第一大手機製造商諾基亞也在時刻關注能量採集技術在手機領域的進展情況。不過,該公司強調目前還沒有任何原型產品。然而,在智能手機時代,所有移動設備生產商將必須尋求通過能量採集提升設備性能,至少是延長電池使用壽命。
 
    5. 生物電子技術
科技期刊《EE Times 》認為,生物電子技術目前主要處在研究階段,但是生物技術與電子技術的結合已經足夠成熟,可以進行開發利用。在此之前,科學家已將硬件植入動物體內,比如植入皮膚下面的動物身份標籤,或是供人類患者使用的心臟起搏器。最新例證則來自於IBM ,該公司最近推出了生物電子芯片產品的原型。不僅如此,我們還有可能在電子尋址基板上培育生物細胞,實現生物體外診斷。此外,有關個別細胞的電行為信息及其對藥物的反應,是心臟與神經方面疾病研究領域的重要焦點。簡而言之,《EE Times 》認為生物電子技術的大量研究和進步,仍舊是推動這項技術發展的主流趨勢。
 
      6. 記憶電阻
記憶電阻又名憶阻器(memristor) ,是一種電子元件。記憶電阻被認為是電路的第四種基本元件,僅次於電阻器、電容器及電感元件。記憶電阻可以在關掉電源後,仍能“記憶”通過的電荷。兩組記憶電阻更能產生與晶體管相同的功能,但更為細小,有助於大大減少存儲器的尺寸,同時有利於人工智能的進一步發展。
 
《連線》雜誌 ​​指出,“奇點” (Singularity) 理念認為,一旦我們設計出一種思考速度快於人類的生物,它就將設計出更好的軟件和硬件來運行,使得自己更加聰明。
 
IBM 公司的研究人員表示,他們正在一台超級計算機上運行一個仿真程序——皮層仿真器,該仿真器的運行能力與貓腦差不多。另外,惠普公司對於憶阻器的研究雖然還處於萌芽狀態,但是,也表現出了極具誘惑的前景。
 
    7. WiMAX 無線寬帶
WiMAX 是一項新興的無線寬帶接入技術,能夠在比  Wi-Fi 更廣闊的地域範圍內提供互聯網的高速接入,其數據傳輸距離最遠可達50 公里。WiMAX 不僅在北美、歐洲迅猛發展,而且這股熱浪已經推進到亞洲。目前,WiMAX 的標準為802.16e ,在不遠的將來,其將被新標準802.16m 取代。802.16m 能夠提供更快的下載和上傳速率,可向用戶提供170Mbps 的下載速率和90Mbps 的上傳速率,此外還可以向後完全兼容802.16e 標準。用戶即便是在時速350 公里的交通工具上也可以使用這項新服務。
 
與WiMAX 競爭的另一無線寬帶技術是LTE 。LTE 是由全球各大通信設備商和運營商支持的技術,與WiMAX 同為FDD 類技術,兩種技術都開始有商業化試點。WiMAX 的主要支持者為美國運營商Sprint Wireless 、英特爾以及KT 和三星等韓國企業。《連線》雜誌 ​​估計,WiMAX 將於2011 年覆蓋全球超過10 億人。屆時,你的智能手機或者手提電腦可能都會安裝這項技術。那時,它或許被稱為4G 。
 
    8. 幹細胞研究
2009 年,奧巴馬當選美國總統後宣布廢除對胚胎幹細胞研究的禁令,該項措施極大推動了美國的干細胞研究。幹細胞研究自然成為當前前沿技術中最熱門、進展最快、最振奮人心的領域。《MIT 技術評論》預計,幹細胞研究將成為尋找治療人類疾病的新方法。
 
    9. 可燃冰開採
當石油被用完,我們用什麼作為能源?三星經濟研究院認為,可燃冰將最有希望成為未來能源的替代品。可燃冰也叫做固態甲烷,燃燒值非常高,燃燒後生成二氧化碳和水,是理想的清潔能源。據估計,當前世界可燃冰的儲量可以供給人類1000 年的能量消耗。在中國青海省祁連山脈就發現蘊藏著巨大儲量的可燃冰,儲量相當於2555 億桶原油,可供中國使用近90 年。
 
由於可燃冰通常都在海底450 米之下發現,對開採技術要求相當苛刻。如果開採不當,將釋放出大量甲烷從而造成生態災難,這也是可燃冰開採面臨的最大難題。一旦這個難題被有效破解,可燃冰開採技術將成為低碳技術的核心。
 
    10. 飛輪電池
如果電池技術不能進一步取得突破,環保電動車注定不會再有未來,汽車和可持續發展環保技術的結合也是一句空話。《福布斯》撰文指出,今後人們將更多聽到“飛輪電池技術”。2010 年10月,在2010 美國勒芒系列賽最後一輪中,保時捷911GT3 混合動力賽車首次正式使用了該項技術(該車成績在比賽中排名中游)。飛輪技術將製動所收集的動能轉化為電能,並將能量貯存於一個飛輪之中。在加速過程中,該能量將轉移至前輪,前輪載有內燃機。這一過程將大大減少燃料消耗,並增加行駛範圍。在賽車中,飛輪技術的一大優勢在於賽車加油的次數較少,為其在賽場上贏得了寶貴的時間。在不犧牲速度和敏捷性的前提下,讓汽車更有效率,這會是一個令人振奮的進步。
 
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對於4. 移動能量採集小弟認為是絕對方行的, 引申下去照字面理解, 其實於香港一些繁忙的行人道, 安裝感應板, 當人們踏上感應板, 馬達便得到動能再發電供旁邊的路燈照明, 可是我們的政府每每都會說需要資詢, 待人們兩星期後忘掉了便能逃之夭夭。
 
發表時間:2011年9月17日 | 評論 (0) | 全文

簡單與復雜

滿腹經論, 處處猜度的你:

 

相信我,也許事情沒有你想得那麼曲折離奇,經常滿腹陰謀論, 猜度人不辛苦麼? 或者別人真的是沒有城府呢? 為什麼你經常皺眉? 你不開心嗎?

 

你知道你這樣阿諛奉承的態度令人很討厭嗎?

 

你知道經常夜睡早起, 是慢性自殺自己嗎? 請注意身體!

 

 

台安

 

為人簡單, 沒頭沒腦的我

 

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為人簡單, 沒頭沒腦的你:

 

相 信我,也許事情真的沒有你想得那麼簡單, 為什麼我們能在這個時間相遇? 是單純巧合? 還是當中有千絲萬縷的因果關係? 舉例, 去到圖書館, 我們選那一本書, 到底單純是我們的自由意志去選取? 還是, 什麼造物者已經為我們安排好要選那一本書? 我們身為這個「人生遊戲」裡的玩家, 不能隨便放棄當玩家, 也不能以抽離的態度去看這個世界來證實這個關係, 但偏偏這個關係影響得我們最深遠......可惜以上的東西, 我想你都不會明白......抱歉......

 

我皺眉是因為我不明白, 我不明白為什麼有人開心時會笑, 遇到荒謬的東西時也會笑。我也不明白為什麼偽善的環保組織不能順藤摸瓜的站出來說地球的污染是因為人口過多,老是騷不著癢處說炭排放太多,敢問若全球人口 數目與樹木數目掉轉, 地球的生態會怎樣? 簡單的你不會去想, 只是見日過日, 甘於被控制, 敢怒不敢言, 大抵只會說那些敢言的很吵, 不和諧, 不理性, 破壞社會安定, 煽動叛亂什麼什麼......若想安定和諧請不佩戴氧氣樽,把頭浸在水中十分鐘, 閣下必定能安定, 和諧 , 理性的死去, 地球也會多謝閣下為她的重生出了一分綿力, 社會不需要像你一樣那麼怕事, 心血少, 容易被別人煽動的人, 若社會安定能被這些擲地無聲的話一敲即碎, 那麼這個社會必定是建基於危樓之上   

 

我阿諛奉承? 你誤會了! 我只是說他們想聽的話, 閒時多燒香, 遇到危難別人也會想到你而已, 反之像你這像率性而為, 像你這樣對任何不設任何防衛, 碰壁的最後只是你自己。

 

敢問閣下有多少次能表裡如一, 如看見討厭的人, 能有膽上前指著其鼻子說:「他媽的!」? 你沒有, 一次也沒有, 從來都沒有! 為什麼你不能表裡如一清心直說? 因為你我本是同一種人......一種表裡一能如一的人......

 

謝謝你的關心, 你是個好人, 我知道這是慢性自殺, 可是這正合我意, 因為這個世界已經不是非黑即白那麼簡單。 

 

 

台安

 

滿腹經論, 處處猜度的我

發表時間:2011年9月16日 | 評論 (0) | 全文

方向正確 港府壓樓市 不能怕孭鑊

http://news.hotpot.hk/fruit/art_main.php?iss_id=20110426&sec_id=15307&art_id=15199551

方向正確
港府壓樓市 不能怕孭鑊

樓價急跌爆發的怨氣,料較捱貴樓的怨氣大。

本港樓價急升,部份屋苑造價更超越 97年高峯期,究竟罪魁禍首是誰?曾出任政府長遠房屋策略委員會委員的雷鼎鳴坦言,當年主管房屋政策的孫明揚已錯失良機(孫氏於 02至 07年出任房屋及規劃地政局局長),猶幸近日港府推出穩定土地供應的策略選對了路,但官員要切戒怕孭鑊的心態,「 AO(政務主任)冇乜長遠諗法,最緊要任期內唔好孭大鑊。」

持續 10年增供應樓價「惡唔出」

雷鼎鳴

要解決高樓價問題,雷鼎鳴認為,政府要未來 10年持續提供穩定土地供應,以滿足現時每年逾 2萬個私人住宅單位的需要,令樓價「惡唔出樣」,甚至下調。
近年樓價高企的來龍去脈,他娓娓道來。 97年亞洲金融風暴爆發,社會對經濟前景信心暗淡,樓價亦自高位急跌,至 03年沙士後更跌剩 97年樓價的 37%,業主終於「頂唔順」,負資產問題惡化,政府遂改變土地政策,緊縮供應撐樓價。
他認為,這項政策推出 2至 3年便足夠,因為樓價於 05年已回升至 97年的 50%水平,趨於合理。可惜,當年主管房屋政策的孫公繼續壓抑土地供應,結果 4、 5年後的 09年,住宅單位供應急跌至 8800個,較以往正常的 3萬個差距甚遠。
長 期緊縮土地供應政策,延至 2010年才作出改變,結果是香港呎樓(每方呎樓價)實在「貴得驚人」,香港偏遠至上水古洞的樓價, 7000呎單位售價 1.5億港元,同樣面積位於離三藩市 40分鐘車程的地區,售價只是 900萬港元!香港的住宅面積亦太少,新加坡的人均居住樓面面積便高出香港達 60%。
樓價雖高,但他強調,樓價不可以再出現過急跌勢,負資產觸發的怨氣,「激過」買貴樓的怨氣。
對於目前大力鼓吹打壓樓價的政客,他質疑他們會否承擔後果責任,就好像當年政黨以至媒體,都支持八萬五政策打壓樓價,然而負資產事件後,「個個都唔關佢事,集體失憶!」

出位建議:郊野公園起樓

如何增加地皮供應?雷鼎鳴建議可從城市規劃發展郊野公園用地着手。現時香港樓宇落成的建築面積只佔整體土地的 20%,但港人用郊野公園的使用率少於 2%,可說是很多市民捱貴租、買貴樓,來津貼少數行山人士。此外,更完善的交通網絡,亦有助拓闊居住範圍。

上車盤源:公屋市價出售

應否重建居屋?雷鼎鳴認為,讓公屋自由買賣,更能有效滿足市場需求,亦有助減輕政府管理公屋費用,節省成本。他認為,公屋可以市價出售,料市價約數十萬至 100萬元,上車盤價錢,公屋人士亦歡迎。他相信政府不太願意重建居屋,因曾「揩過嘢」,較難再次改動政策。

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某天在港台<一桶金>節目聽到雷教授的偉論, 他言明自己不愛行山, 自己不愛行山便叫政府把郊野公園土地撥一點來起樓, 這是什麼理論? 承上文,他竟然把貴租貴樓的責任推落「少數行山人士」身上?

「我做賊搶你野咪搶囉, 你叫救命做乜姐?」本末倒置......

發表時間:2011年9月13日 | 評論 (0) | 全文

意見收集箱

 各位對小弟的Blog有什麼意見, 歡迎發表! 

 
閣下的一點意見是推動本人進步的動力
 
各位請隨緣樂助, 功德無量!
發表時間:2011年9月11日 | 評論 (0) | 全文